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Turkish military bases in Cyprus under a NATO flag

President Anastasiades has finally succumbed and admitted to making political mistakes

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Cyprus President Nicos Anastasiades. PHOTO: EPA/LAURENT DUBRULE

17 May 2016

Driving to Nicosia one is faced with a massive Turkish flag carved out of the Pendadaktilos mountainside to stare drivers in the eyes. Come nightfall the flag is brightly illuminated. What does such symbolism say to Greeks and visitors alike?

Meanwhile, the Turks are opening the largest mosque in Europe in the city of Amsterdam, named Hagia Sophia - a Christian Greek name. It is modelled on the iconic Hagia Sophia in Constantinople and will turn the sacred symbol of Orthodoxy and Greek culture into a place of Muslim worship. This is in line with President Erdogan's dream and promises that he would turn the Hagia Sophia in Constantinople into a mosque.

Turkey's behaviour is not surprising, but what is deplorable is that Ankara shuns the principle of democratic values and pretends to be a democracy when it suits.

President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has made it quite clear, claiming that: "Democracy, freedom and the rule of law ... for us, these words have absolutely no value any longer."

Yet, this nation wants to join the European Union; a union whose primary existence depends on holding democratic values in high esteem.

When Turkey - the first Muslim nation - becomes a new member of the EU, under qualified majority voting (which roughly reflects the size of population of each member state), it would share a powerful EU decision-making influence well above many other member states. In preparation, the commission has already added Turkish as the 25th official working EU language.

European Parliament President Martin Schulz, on his recent visit to Ankara, did not mince his words and praised Turkey for its cooperation on the refugee crisis.

"I express our recognition for the generosity of Turkey in its hosting of Syrian refugees. The EU must support Turkey financially and through joint efforts," he stated. Ironically, he ignored Turkey's complicity in the ongoing human smuggling from its borders.

President Erdogan, an autocrat to millions of people, rejects criticism, and even the Vatican has not escaped his fury. He described the EU and Pope Francis as part of an "evil front" that was hatching "plots" against Turkey. Only a mistrustful leader would come up with such ridiculous statements accusing the pope of collusion.

However, nothing Ankara does or comments on is without a reason. It is a known fact that Erdogan's life-long ambition is to revive a neo-Ottoman Empire and name himself the 'Great Sultan' of 1.7 billion Muslims worldwide.

The president has recently played host to a two-day summit in Istanbul, and 30 heads of Islamic states (out of 57) gathered to iron out political and theological differences. This was a perfect opportunity for Erdogan to pitch his qualifications to lead the Islamic world. "My religion is not that of Sunnis or Shiites. My religion is Islam," he advocated, attempting to use religion as the way to Islamic greatness. Not everyone was convinced.

At the summit Erdogan also found the opportunity to urge his guests "to break the isolation of our Muslim brothers in the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus", while his Prime Minister Ahmet Davudoglu called to "liberate all the Islamic lands under occupation", especially Palestine, Karabach and Crimea.

Only President Putin stood up against Ankara and gave a blunt warning to Erdogan's military expansionist plans: "Should Turkey not stop supporting al-Qaeda's Syrian Branch, I am indeed eager to end the job the late Tsar Nicholas II left unfinished during WWI. He (the Tsar) sought to restore Constantinople to Christendom and protect Russian maritime security by liberating the Dardanelles and Bosporus straits but fate prevented him," TASS News Agency cited. Putin also advocated Greek sovereignty over Cyprus and stated that Turkey must "end its decades-long occupation of the Mediterranean island of Cyprus".

Such statements by a world leader such as Putin show that Russia has been consistent with its support for Cyprus. Instead of attempting to build stronger ties with this long-time friend, President Anastasiades agreed with EU-Troika's plan to reduce Russian banking on the island and also crop the accounts of Russians, including all Cypriots. If that was not bad enough, his government, instead of abstaining, actually voted in favour of EU sanctions against Russia.

In retaliation, Russia introduced its own counter-sanctions, sending shockwaves in the small economy of Cyprus. The country had jumped from one frying pan straight into another with disastrous repercussions to the economy.

With the May election coming up, President Anastasiades has finally succumbed and admitted making political mistakes: "The pledge about haircut (bail-in) was probably my biggest mistake simply because, not knowing the situation, I believed we could avoid it through negotiation," he told reporters during a news conference. In hindsight, he made decisions flippantly without proper evaluation of the repercussions of those decisions.

For Cyprus, his decision to steal people's money was not a mistake, but a catastrophe on a grand scale; it ruined the country economically and socially. The admission of such ruinous political mistakes raises serious questions of the government's ability to govern astutely and in the interests of the country.

His government's actions did not go unnoticed. Victoria Nuland's - the US State Department for European Affairs - visit to Cyprus did not take place because she loves Cyprus and neither did those of US Vice-President Joe Biden nor US Secretary of State John Kerry. For more than 50 years, no such high-ranking US officials had ever visited the island before. With a friendly and receptive government in power as well as the discovery of natural gas, Cyprus had become a new trophy to be shared by all.

First and foremost, they arrived to persuade the Cyprus government to keep Russia out but also to accept Turkish forces in Cyprus under a NATO flag.

The timing was perfect and Mr Erdogan dropped a bombshell; he announced that once a Bi-zonal, Bi-communal Federation (BBF) agreement was reached, Turkey would maintain a military base in Cyprus "for protection". NATO considered Ankara's statement as a "contributing factor" to stability in the region. Those comments received little press coverage or government reaction.

Erdogan's statement was not without substance but was well chosen and in line with Ankara's aims to establish military bases in central Asia and North Africa, Qatar, Somalia, Georgia and Azerbaijan as well as Gaza, and certainly to keeping the one in Cyprus.

Turkey's diplomatic and shrewd policy has outsmarted the EU and western powers combined; it will receive six billion euros; visa-free EU access for 78 million Turkish nationals plus EU membership.

All considered, Turkey's powerful foreign policy raises one question: Does Cyprus have the stealth and statesmanship to fend off those forces that aim to destroy the Republic of Cyprus, liberate the island and also stop Turkey breathing down its neck? History shows otherwise.

The current apartheid-style BBF negotiations will certainly not get rid of Turkey but would help to consolidate and legalise its occupation of the island. The situation is very fragile indeed.

There was always another choice that no government has ever dared to consider - that's the Russian connection. Offering Russia a naval base on the island would have stopped those political shenanigans by everyone and at the same time Turkey would never dare risk provoking the Great White Bear.

It appears as if 2016 will become the decisive year for Cyprus. Under the current situation, it will either remain a republic or it will be partitioned, by establishing two separate component states at the risk of being overrun by a Muslim population. The first option appears to be a much wiser choice by a mile.

In the end, citizens will be asked to decide the fate of their country; that is, unless the government negates its promise of a referendum and signs on the dotted line behind closed doors - like it did with the IMF EU-Troika bail-in.

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Comments

The century old war in the Middle East continues. The Replacement of the Ottoman Empire with a number of puppets. Any one people that are not totally controlled, or, show themselves up as too progressive in any way are destroyed. The Saudis were created by the USA petrol companies, and, they were given the right to rule, as long as they were in total submission. A Greater Turkey will never be allowed to expand in any way to threaten the five Anglo powers. Syria started to look like a country; and, Iraq thought it was a country. Today both are a big sewerage treatment works. Turkey will be maintained as a country as long as it’s a puppet. Turkey may even be used to attack others that are not in control, like Iraq was used to attack Iran. Turkey could be used to weaken Russia further by a war in the Caucasus, like it was done in Afghanistan that ended the Soviet Union. At the end of a long war, even if nuclear bombs are not used, both sides will resemble the Syrian sewerage works. The breakup of Turkey and Iran is a certainty once Russia is broken up into ten pieces. Little Greece will be overwhelmed by the refugees moving west, very much like the Slavs moving south in the past. The EU is a weapon against all the small countries and tribes; pretending it’s otherwise is like believing in Father Christmas bringing you free presents because he loves you. The aims of the First World War, was finding a way to start it in 1912, but it happened in 1914; the total conquest is coming along. Will Australia occupy Japan as was the intention in 1912, or will Australian Mothers refuse once again to sacrifice their sons? I think this generation of Australian Mothers will walk about the streets wearing necklaces of Japanese ears with pride that their sons send them from Japan. PS The "Russian connection" is a two hundred year old folly that has got Greek hands burned many a time. The latest upheaval in Greece started with a trip to Russia by a Greek Prime Minister. A dog that is fed and housed is not expected to keep company with the wolves.

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